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America’s oldest ally in Asia is drawing closer to China

By Eric December 6, 2025

Thailand’s relationship with China has evolved significantly in recent years, with the Southeast Asian nation increasingly relying on its larger neighbor for trade and security. As global dynamics shift, Thailand finds itself navigating a complex landscape where economic interdependence with China grows while also grappling with the implications of such reliance. A key factor driving this trend is the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), a massive infrastructure and economic development project launched by China, which has seen Thailand benefit from substantial investments in transportation, energy, and technology sectors. The construction of high-speed railways and improved road networks exemplifies how these investments are designed to enhance connectivity within the region and bolster Thailand’s position as a logistics hub in Southeast Asia.

Moreover, Thailand’s security considerations also play a crucial role in its growing dependency on China. As tensions rise in the South China Sea and amid shifting alliances in the Asia-Pacific, Thailand has sought to strengthen its defense ties with China. This includes joint military exercises and increased cooperation in areas such as cybersecurity and counter-terrorism. For instance, the recent joint military drills between the Thai and Chinese armed forces underscore the deepening defense collaboration, highlighting a strategic pivot towards China in the face of potential threats from other regional powers. However, this burgeoning relationship is not without its challenges. Critics argue that Thailand risks compromising its sovereignty and foreign policy autonomy by aligning too closely with China, particularly as the U.S. and other Western nations express concerns over China’s growing influence in the region.

In conclusion, while Thailand’s increasing dependence on China presents opportunities for economic growth and enhanced security, it also raises critical questions about the long-term implications of such a relationship. The balance between reaping the benefits of Chinese investments and maintaining a degree of independence will be a pivotal challenge for Thailand in the coming years. As the geopolitical landscape continues to evolve, the Thai government must carefully navigate this complex relationship, ensuring that it serves the nation’s interests while fostering stability and prosperity in the region.

Thailand increasingly depends on its bigger neighbour for trade and security

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