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Why global investment firm Nuveen is betting on this niche real estate subsector

By Eric October 30, 2025

The commercial real estate market has experienced a notable shift in vacancy rates within its subsector over the past several years, reflecting broader economic trends and changing market dynamics. According to data from CoStar Group, vacancy rates in this subsector plummeted from 7.8% at the beginning of 2016 to an impressive 4.4% at the start of 2023. This significant decrease illustrates a robust demand for commercial spaces, driven by factors such as economic recovery, evolving business needs, and a resurgence in consumer activity post-pandemic.

The decline in vacancy rates can be attributed to several key factors. Firstly, the economic recovery following the COVID-19 pandemic has spurred businesses to expand and invest in new spaces, leading to increased occupancy rates. For instance, companies in sectors like technology and e-commerce have been particularly aggressive in seeking out office and warehouse spaces to accommodate their growth. Additionally, the rise of hybrid work models has prompted businesses to rethink their office layouts, often leading to the leasing of more flexible, adaptable spaces that cater to a changing workforce. This trend has not only reduced vacancy rates but has also transformed the types of properties that are in demand.

Moreover, the competitive landscape of the commercial real estate market has intensified as developers and investors seek to capitalize on the low vacancy rates. With fewer available properties, landlords are more empowered to negotiate favorable lease terms, often resulting in higher rental prices. This tightening of the market has implications for both businesses looking for space and investors seeking opportunities within the sector. Overall, the drop in vacancy rates from 7.8% to 4.4% underscores a recovering economy and highlights the evolving landscape of commercial real estate, where adaptability and strategic planning are becoming increasingly vital for success.

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Vacancy rates in the subsector were 7.8% at the start of 2016, but came down to 4.4% by the beginning of this year, according to data from CoStar Group.

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