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With two months to Christmas, here’s what retail leaders expect for holiday shopping

By Eric October 26, 2025

In a recent trend observed across the retail sector, major retailers such as Kohl’s and Academy Sports and Outdoors have reported a noticeable shift in consumer spending habits, reflecting broader economic concerns. As inflation continues to impact household budgets, many consumers are opting to “trade down” to more affordable products or are reducing their overall spending. This behavior indicates a significant change in consumer confidence and purchasing power, as shoppers prioritize essential items over discretionary purchases. For instance, Kohl’s has indicated that customers are increasingly gravitating towards value-oriented brands and discount options, which has prompted the retailer to adjust its inventory and marketing strategies accordingly.

Academy Sports and Outdoors has also noted similar patterns, with shoppers becoming more selective about their purchases. The retailer has observed a decline in sales of higher-end sporting goods and outdoor equipment, as consumers opt for budget-friendly alternatives. This shift is not isolated to these two retailers; it is part of a broader trend affecting various sectors within the retail industry. Companies are responding by enhancing their value offerings and focusing on promotions to attract cost-conscious shoppers. For example, both Kohl’s and Academy have ramped up their discounting efforts and are emphasizing their private label brands, which typically offer lower prices compared to national brands.

As the economic landscape continues to evolve, these retailers are adapting to meet the changing needs and preferences of consumers. The trend of trading down is likely to persist as inflationary pressures remain, prompting retailers to innovate and find ways to deliver value without compromising on quality. This shift not only highlights the resilience of consumers in navigating financial challenges but also underscores the importance of retailers staying attuned to market dynamics to remain competitive. With the holiday season approaching, it will be critical for these retailers to effectively balance their offerings to cater to both budget-conscious shoppers and those still willing to spend on premium products.

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Kohl’s and Academy Sports and Outdoors are among the retailers that said they’re seeing consumers trade down or pull back.

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