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NHL’s best this week: The case for a new ‘playoff cutoff’ date

By Eric November 24, 2025

As the NHL season progresses, hockey fans are often reminded of the traditional American Thanksgiving playoff rule, which suggests that teams in playoff contention typically solidify their positions by the time the holiday rolls around. This informal guideline has become a benchmark for evaluating team performance early in the season, as statistics show that around 75% of teams in playoff spots at Thanksgiving go on to qualify for the postseason. However, in a recent article, a new date has been proposed as a more relevant indicator for fans and analysts alike: the Winter Classic, held on January 1st.

The Winter Classic, an outdoor game that has become a staple of the NHL’s New Year celebrations, offers a fresh perspective on team standings and playoff potential. By this point in the season, teams have had ample time to establish their rosters, develop chemistry, and navigate the early-season challenges. This date not only allows for a more comprehensive assessment of a team’s capabilities but also aligns with the league’s heightened visibility during the holiday season. For example, teams that struggle before Thanksgiving may find their footing after the holiday, making the Winter Classic a more reliable marker for predicting playoff success.

Moreover, the article highlights how the NHL’s competitive landscape can shift dramatically in the weeks leading up to the Winter Classic. Injuries, trades, and emerging talent can all play pivotal roles in reshaping team dynamics. For instance, last season saw the rise of underdog teams that were initially overlooked but made significant strides by January, illustrating that the Thanksgiving rule may not always hold true. By shifting focus to the Winter Classic, fans and analysts can engage in a more nuanced conversation about team trajectories, making the excitement of the NHL season even more compelling as it unfolds.

We all know the American Thanksgiving playoff rule. Here’s a better date for hockey fans to use.

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