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Family offices fear dollar depreciation, lower investment returns in wake of tariffs

By Eric October 26, 2025

In a recent survey conducted among investment firms catering to ultra-wealthy clients, a notable shift in sentiment has emerged regarding portfolio management for 2025. The findings indicate that these firms are becoming increasingly bearish about market conditions, reflecting concerns over economic stability and potential downturns. This pessimism is particularly relevant given the current global economic landscape, which has been characterized by inflationary pressures, rising interest rates, and geopolitical tensions that could impact investment returns. The survey highlights a growing apprehension among wealth managers about the sustainability of market gains, prompting them to reconsider their investment strategies for the upcoming year.

Key insights from the survey reveal that a significant portion of these firms are advocating for a more cautious approach, emphasizing the importance of diversification and risk management. Many are recommending a shift towards safer assets, such as bonds and cash equivalents, as a hedge against volatility. For instance, some firms are advising clients to allocate more resources to alternative investments, including private equity and real estate, which are perceived as more resilient in uncertain times. This shift in strategy is not only a response to current market conditions but also reflects a broader trend where ultra-wealthy investors are increasingly prioritizing capital preservation over aggressive growth.

Moreover, the survey underscores the importance of staying informed about macroeconomic indicators and market trends. Investment firms are urging their clients to remain vigilant and adaptable, as the economic landscape continues to evolve. With concerns about a potential recession looming, these firms are preparing for various scenarios and advising their clients to do the same. The bearish outlook for 2025 serves as a reminder of the complexities inherent in wealth management and the need for a proactive and informed approach to investing in an unpredictable environment. As the year unfolds, it will be crucial for both investment firms and their ultra-wealthy clients to navigate these challenges with a strategic mindset, ensuring their portfolios are well-positioned to withstand potential market fluctuations.

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Investment firms of the ultra-wealthy have grown more bearish about their portfolios in 2025, according to a new survey.

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