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Africa’s other debt crisis

By Eric November 21, 2025

In a shifting global financial landscape, developing countries are witnessing a significant surge in domestic borrowing, a trend that is reshaping their economic strategies and financial stability. While international loans from China and Western financiers have long been the focal point of discussions around external debt, the growing reliance on domestic sources of financing is becoming increasingly prominent. This shift is particularly evident in countries like Brazil, India, and Nigeria, where governments are tapping into local capital markets to fund infrastructure projects and stimulate economic growth. The move towards domestic borrowing is not merely a reaction to external pressures; it reflects a broader strategy to enhance financial independence and reduce vulnerability to foreign debt crises.

For instance, Brazil has recently seen a rise in government bonds issued in local currency, aimed at funding critical infrastructure projects while simultaneously appealing to domestic investors. This strategy allows the government to mitigate exchange rate risks associated with foreign-denominated loans, which can lead to increased debt burdens during economic downturns. Similarly, India has ramped up its domestic borrowing to finance ambitious initiatives in renewable energy and urban development, leveraging its robust financial markets to attract local investors. This trend is not without its challenges, however, as increased domestic borrowing can lead to higher interest rates and inflation if not managed carefully. Furthermore, the shift towards local financing raises questions about the sustainability of such borrowing practices in the long term, especially in economies that are still grappling with structural issues.

The implications of this domestic borrowing trend are multifaceted. On one hand, it empowers countries to take charge of their economic destinies by reducing reliance on foreign creditors. On the other hand, it necessitates a careful balancing act to ensure that domestic debt levels remain manageable and do not crowd out private sector investment. As developing nations navigate this complex financial terrain, the experiences of countries like Brazil and India could serve as valuable case studies for others considering a similar path. Ultimately, the rise of domestic borrowing reflects a critical evolution in the financial strategies of developing nations, highlighting the importance of local capital markets in fostering sustainable economic growth.

It is not just loans from China and Western financiers. Domestic borrowing is surging

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