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Age-verification laws dont keep minors away from adult sites, study suggests

By Eric November 18, 2025

A recent analysis from the Phoenix Center, a public policy nonprofit, has reignited the debate surrounding age-verification laws, particularly in light of their impact on adults’ First Amendment rights. Building on earlier research from NYU and other institutions, which indicated that these laws are largely ineffective, the Phoenix Center’s study argues that the constitutional costs of implementing such regulations far outweigh any potential benefits. Age-verification laws, which require online platforms to confirm users’ ages through methods like government IDs or facial recognition, have been adopted in various states and countries, including the UK. However, the study suggests that these measures do little to prevent minors from accessing explicit content, as tech-savvy adolescents can easily bypass them using tools like VPNs.

The study’s findings are particularly relevant given the recent Supreme Court ruling that deemed Texas’s age-verification law constitutional. The court applied an “intermediate scrutiny” standard, asserting that such laws serve a significant government interest. However, Phoenix Center’s chief economist, Dr. George S. Ford, challenges this notion by highlighting data trends that show increased searches for VPNs and adult content following the implementation of age-verification laws. His analysis indicates that while the laws aim to deter minors, they inadvertently impose significant restrictions on adults seeking to access legal content. Ford emphasizes that if the intended targets—minors—can easily circumvent these regulations, then the laws fail to meet the constitutional requirement of being “substantially related” to their stated purpose.

Moreover, the study raises concerns about the cybersecurity risks associated with age-verification laws. By requiring users to submit personal information, these regulations could expose adults to threats such as ransomware and third-party tracking. Ford argues that the burdens placed on adults’ free speech rights, combined with the questionable effectiveness of these laws in protecting minors, create a compelling case for their repeal. He concludes that when the costs of a policy significantly exceed its benefits, it fails to uphold constitutional standards, suggesting a need for a reevaluation of age-verification laws in the digital landscape. As the conversation continues, it remains crucial for lawmakers to consider both the legal implications and the practical realities of enforcing such regulations.

Back in March, a working paper from researchers at NYU and other universities suggested that
age-verification laws are ineffective
. Now, a new analysis not only supports the same finding but also suggests that these laws may impose a burden on adults’ First Amendment rights.
The
new study
, conducted by the public policy nonprofit the Phoenix Center, finds that these laws should fail a constitutional cost-benefit test. Meaning, if the laws are ineffective, then the cost to adults’ constitutional rights to view legal content likely outweighs the benefit of preventing minors from seeing it.
Age-verification laws in the United States
and beyond typically require websites that host a decent amount of explicit content to verify visitors’ ages with more than a “yes or no” checkbox — such as with their government ID or a facial recognition scan. But, especially with the onset of the United Kingdom’s age-verification law over the summer, some non-explicit platforms like
YouTube
are starting to implement age checks as well.

SEE ALSO:

How to unblock Pornhub for free

Experts have long told Mashable that
these laws won’t work
for their intended purpose of keeping minors off pornographic websites. Software like
VPNs can circumvent them
, and users can simply visit websites that don’t comply with the laws. There are also privacy and security concerns associated with these laws, such as the inability to browse legal content anonymously and inputting personal data into a third-party system that may be vulnerable to hacking.
Still, lawmakers have introduced and passed age verification laws in many states and countries. And since the initial release of the working paper in March this year, the
Supreme Court has deemed age verification laws constitutional
, despite concerns that they quell free speech and thus infringe on the First Amendment.
Costs and benefits of age-verification
The Phoenix Center’s cost-benefit analysis is important due to SCOTUS’s recent ruling. In June, the majority of the court decided that Texas’s age-verification law was subject to the “intermediate scrutiny” standard. As the study outlines, the Supreme Court held that “Texas’s age-verification law served an important government interest and that age-verification was substantially related to achieving that purpose.”
Phoenix Center’s chief economist, Dr. George S. Ford, conducted the study and reasoned that age-verification laws should deter substantially more minors than adults in order for this standard to hold up.
He used Google Trends data before and after states implemented their laws and/or
Pornhub blocked itself
in these states. He found spikes in searches for “VPN” (47 percent increase in the week Pornhub pulled out of the state, sustained for around 20 weeks) and “free porn” (30 percent increase without a significant decrease back down).
And while Google doesn’t break down whether it’s an adult or a minor searching, other research has found that adolescents aged 13-18 are likely to
know how to use VPNs
or can easily adopt them. This suggests that users, including minors, simply go around the laws.
“The evidence suggests a regulatory regime where the intended targets — tech-savvy minors — can easily bypass restrictions while adults exercising constitutional rights bear the primary costs,” Ford stated in the
press release
.
In the study, Ford also laid out cybersecurity risks of using free VPNs, such as increased vulnerability to ransomware incidents, IP leaks, and third-party tracking.
While more research has to be done, Ford wrote in the study that the effectiveness of age verification laws at protecting minors is “questionable,” both because knowledgeable teens can find ways to circumvent them and because of the costs of impeding adults’ First Amendment rights.
“When a policy’s burdens on protected speech substantially exceed its effectiveness at achieving its stated purpose, it fails the constitutional requirement of being ‘substantially related’ to that purpose, regardless of how important the objective may be,” he continued in the press release. “Add to this the cybersecurity risks and degradation of internet infrastructure, and we have a clear case where costs exceed benefits.”

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