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TSMC’s cautious expansion is frustrating the AI industry

By Eric November 14, 2025

**Taiwan’s Chipmaking Giant Faces Challenges Amid Investment Boom**

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), the world’s leading chipmaker, finds itself at a crossroads as it navigates the complexities of a burgeoning investment boom in the semiconductor industry. With global demand for chips surging due to the proliferation of technology in various sectors, including automotive, consumer electronics, and artificial intelligence, TSMC has made significant strides to expand its production capabilities. However, the company’s history with previous investment surges serves as a cautionary tale, highlighting the risks associated with rapid scaling in a volatile market.

In the past, TSMC has experienced the detrimental effects of overinvestment during periods of high demand followed by downturns. For instance, the company invested heavily in expanding its facilities and technology during the 2017 chip shortage, only to face a market correction that left it grappling with excess capacity and declining prices. This history has made TSMC cautious about its current expansion plans, as it seeks to balance the need to meet immediate demand with the potential for future market fluctuations. As the company embarks on a $100 billion investment strategy over the next three years to bolster its production capabilities, it is simultaneously keenly aware of the lessons learned from past booms and busts.

To mitigate risks, TSMC is adopting a more measured approach to its growth strategy, focusing on strategic partnerships and diversifying its client base. The company is also investing in advanced technologies, such as 3nm and 5nm process nodes, to maintain its competitive edge and cater to high-performance computing and AI applications. Moreover, TSMC’s efforts to establish manufacturing plants in the U.S. and Europe reflect a broader strategy to reduce dependency on Taiwan and enhance supply chain resilience. As the semiconductor industry continues to evolve, TSMC’s ability to navigate these challenges will be crucial not only for its own success but also for the global technology landscape, which increasingly relies on the steady supply of cutting-edge chips.

The Taiwanese chipmaking giant has been burned by previous investment booms

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