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Federal funding cuts are only one problem facing America’s colleges and universities

By Eric December 7, 2025

American colleges and universities, while primarily nonprofit institutions, are increasingly operating like businesses in response to financial pressures. The higher education landscape is currently under significant strain, not only from the Trump administration’s cuts to federal funding—which have resulted in the termination of grants valued between $6.9 billion and $8.2 billion—but also from declining enrollment rates and changing perceptions about the value of a college degree. Research universities such as Johns Hopkins and MIT rely heavily on federal funding, which constituted 40% of their total revenue in the 2022-23 academic year. As enrollment numbers have dropped by 8.4% since their peak in 2010, colleges are compelled to adapt their strategies to attract students, often resorting to price discrimination tactics similar to those used by airlines, offering varying tuition rates based on students’ financial capabilities.

In addition to adjusting tuition pricing, colleges are increasingly focusing on international student enrollment, which typically brings in higher revenue as these students often pay full tuition. However, recent geopolitical tensions and stricter visa policies have led to a significant decline in international student numbers, particularly from China, where enrollment dropped from 317,299 in 2019 to 265,919 in the 2024-25 academic year. This decline adds to the financial strain on institutions that have relied on a robust international student body to sustain their revenue models. Furthermore, the perceived value of a college degree is being questioned, with only 22% of Americans believing that a degree is worth the cost if borrowing is involved. This skepticism is compounded by the disparity in post-graduation earnings across different fields of study, prompting potential students and their families to approach college decisions with greater scrutiny, akin to purchasing a home—a significant investment.

As the higher education sector grapples with these multifaceted challenges, it becomes imperative for prospective students and their families to conduct thorough research and ask critical questions about the return on investment for various degree programs. By demanding greater transparency regarding graduate earnings and job placement rates, students can better navigate the complexities of higher education and make informed decisions that align with their financial and career aspirations. The authors of the article emphasize the need for colleges to reform and adapt to the evolving demands of the workforce, ensuring that they provide value to the next generation of students amidst a rapidly changing economic landscape.

American colleges and universities are often nonprofits, but they often operate in many of the same ways that businesses do.

tc397/iStock/Getty Images Plus
Higher education is under stress. The highest-profile threat has been the Trump administration’s efforts to cut funding to
several universities
,
including Harvard
,
Columbia and

Northwestern
.

Research universities heavily depend on federal money to conduct research and carry out other areas of work. For example, after tuition, federal money allocated
for research
made up 40% of the total revenue for two major research
universities – Johns Hopkins University and Massachusetts Institute of Technology
– in the 2022-23 academic year.

Since January 2025, the
Trump administration has terminated various federal grants
for universities valued between US$6.9 billion and $8.2 billion.

While there’s been a lot of public attention to the federal government’s financial pressure on universities, universities have been experiencing financial pressure from other sources.

Understanding that is key for applicants and parents to understand their bargaining position when choosing whether and where to pursue a college degree.

As scholars of
public administration
and economics and
former university administrators
, we think parents and college applicants need to understand this economic landscape to make smart choices about making such a major investment. Here are four key things to know.

1. Universities are an industry

Most American private colleges and universities are nonprofits, but they still care about revenue. These schools aren’t responsible to shareholders, but they may respond to pressure from alumni, students, employees, donors, boards, the federal government and, if the schools are public universities, state governments.

And like businesses, nonprofit colleges and universities need money. As a result, despite what you might think,
most colleges
are not particularly selective. Though they don’t advertise that fact, hundreds of schools will take any student who meets minimal academic requirements and can pay tuition.

The added cost of teaching additional students is minimal when there are empty seats, so admitting more students can lead to an increase in revenue for most schools.

This is important because colleges’ costs – largely staff salaries and building maintenance – are hard to cut and are mostly fixed. Those costs must be spread across fewer students when there are unfilled seats.

As the number of people
who go to college is declining
, colleges need to respond to people’s skepticism about the value of degrees – but change is difficult

Becoming a smaller school is challenging. If students show less interest in foreign language study and more interest in data science classes, the school cannot have a German language professor suddenly teach data science.

As a result, colleges can become stuck with faculty who teach course students don’t want to take.

Unlike business leaders, who may be rewarded for fixing a failing company by laying off workers, university leaders who eliminate faculty positions become unpopular among their peers. This can reduce their chance to advance their careers at their current universities or switch to a new school.

A college freshman gets her new dorm room ready with her mother at Colorado State University in Fort Collins, Colo., in August 2025.

RJ Sangosti/MediaNews Group/The Denver Post via Getty Images

2. Schools have to work to admit students

Colleges
enrolled 8.4% fewer students
in 2024 than when attendance peaked at 21 million in 2010. As a result, schools must increasingly compete harder to attract students.

One way is to offer a better price, meaning lower tuition. Like most elite schools, Harvard has a listed price of
about $60,000
for tuition alone in one academic year – and nearly $87,000 when food, housing and other services are included.
Few students actually pay that
amount, though the exact percentage getting a discount is not public information.

The average net price a Harvard student paid in 2023-24 was
$17,900, as colleges
offered either financial aid, straight-up discounts or scholarships.

Most schools
engage in this
sort of price discrimination
, the term economists use to describe charging different prices to different customers based on their willingness to pay. In some ways, this is much like airlines selling seats on the same flights at different prices.

3. Schools have a declining foreign customer base

Another enrollment remedy
for colleges and universities to boost tuition revenue has been focusing on admitting international students, who
typically pay full
price.

One-fourth of all
international students
in the U.S. come from China, while another
quarter come from India
.

Most schools have not pursued this strategy of expanding foreign enrollment as aggressively as
Columbia University
, where international students approach
40% of the student body
.

By comparison,
international undergraduate students made up
6% of Columbia’s undergraduate student population in 2000, and 12% in 2011.

But the revenue that international students generate is not a guarantee. Foreign student enrollment declined
17% from fall of 2024 to 2025
.

In part, that’s because of some students’
inability to get a visa
or fear their authorization to study in the U.S.
will be revoked
.

Rising competition from universities in
Australia, Canada and the United Kingdom
, combined with stricter U.S. visa policies and geopolitical tensions with China, have led to
rapid declines
in Chinese students enrolling at American schools.

The number of Chinese
undergraduate and graduate students
attending U.S. colleges and universities has dropped from 317,299 in 2019 to 265,919 in the 2024-25 school year.

This change has increased the financial strain on American colleges and universities, many of which have grown accustomed to having large numbers of international students who pay their own way.

Chinese graduates throw their hats into the sky at their graduation from Columbia University in May 2016.

Xinhua/Li Muzi via Getty Images

4. The value of the product is in question

With recent changes to
federal loan forgiveness programs
, some students and their parents are questioning
the value of a college degree
.

Just
22% of Americans
said in 2024 that a college degree is worth the cost, if a student has to borrow money to get it.

The University of Texas system – made up of nine universities and four medical schools –
shares information
on the average income of graduates for every degree program after graduation.

In the case of the University of Texas at Arlington, the
average salary for a drama, theater arts and stagecraft major
is $14,933 one year after graduation. This amount goes up to $39,608 10 years after graduation, resulting in a negative $324,210 return on the price of college over that first decade.

Of course, some degrees pay off. A University of Texas at Arlington graduate with a degree in civil engineering earns an average of $67,920 one year after college and $105,377 10 years after graduation, demonstrating a positive return on investment of
$1.15 million
.

We believe that universities and colleges should reform to address the next generation’s uncertainty about higher education.

College applicants should be asking hard questions. What is the data on graduates’ earnings compared to the cost of their program? Where are graduates employed?

If more people treated buying a college degree with the same care they use to buy their first home – an equivalent investment – colleges and universities would feel pressure to become more transparent for students and parents. They would also become more aligned with the rapidly evolving demands of the workplace.

The authors do not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and have disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

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