You’re on Ozempic? How Quaint.
The landscape of obesity treatment is evolving rapidly, with a new wave of next-generation drugs set to outperform existing options like Ozempic and Mounjaro. As highlighted in a recent article, the approval of tirzepatide (Mounjaro) marked a significant advancement in obesity medication, allowing for average weight loss of around 20%. However, this is just the beginning. With a plethora of new drugs in clinical trials, some promising nearly 25% weight loss, the future of obesity treatment is looking more personalized and effective. Experts emphasize that obesity is not a singular condition but rather a spectrum of “obesities,” meaning treatments must be tailored to individual patient needs. For instance, a younger patient with fatty liver disease may require a different approach than an elderly patient with low muscle mass, underscoring the necessity for a diverse array of treatment options.
The article discusses how current obesity medications primarily target hormones that regulate hunger and satiety, such as GLP-1 and GIP. While Ozempic mimics GLP-1, newer drugs are combining various hormonal mechanisms to enhance efficacy and reduce side effects. For example, tirzepatide combines GLP-1 with GIP, which not only promotes weight loss but also mitigates some of the nausea commonly associated with GLP-1 treatments. Additionally, drugs like retatrutide, currently in trials, are showing promising results by targeting multiple hormone receptors simultaneously, leading to significant weight loss and metabolic improvements. This variety of mechanisms is crucial because it allows healthcare providers to match treatments to the specific metabolic profiles of their patients, moving away from a one-size-fits-all approach to a more nuanced strategy.
Looking ahead, the future of obesity treatment may include a system of personalized medicine where doctors can predict the most effective drug for a patient through specific tests. This could revolutionize how obesity is managed, enabling patients to find the right medication more efficiently. Furthermore, as the market expands, patients will have more choices, including oral medications and longer-lasting injections, which could enhance adherence and convenience. While the primary goal for many may be weight loss, others might prioritize maintaining muscle mass or managing other health conditions, such as cardiovascular disease. The next decade promises to bring a significant transformation in obesity treatment, with a growing toolbox of medications tailored to meet the diverse needs of patients battling obesity.
“
Ozempic is about to be old news
,” my colleague Yasmin Tayag wrote in 2023, just before an even more powerful obesity drug, tirzepatide, then best known as Mounjaro, was approved. Well, two years later, Mounjaro is becoming old news, too. A whole slew of next-generation obesity drugs are on the horizon, some already advanced enough in clinical trials to be looking as good as—if not better than—those already on the market. The novel medications continue to push the upward limits of weight loss, now to
almost 25 percent
of body weight on average, but they also differ in their modes of action. They target different cells and different parts of cells in the brain and body.
Obesity, after all, is not monolithic. “We don’t have a disease of obesity. We have a disease of obesities,” Angela Fitch, chief medical officer at Knownwell, a national obesity-care clinic, and a former president of the Obesity Medicine Association, told me. With the coming explosion of obesity drugs, doctors could soon match each patient’s condition to their optimal medication: A 25-year-old with fatty-liver disease may need a different drug than a 75-year-old with low muscle mass. About 100 million adults live with obesity in just the U.S., a market massive enough for multiple medications to find a niche. “One size will not fit all, and one size will not be best for all,” Richard DiMarchi, a chemist at Indiana University who has worked on obesity drugs at both Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk, told me.
The most obvious way obesity drugs are not one-size-fits-all is that those on the market
do not actually work for all
. Although patients on semaglutide, the drug in Ozempic and Wegovy, lost on average
10 percent of their body weight
, a third lost less than 5 percent in one clinical trial. Some even
gain
weight taking the drug
. And others suffer such terrible side effects, including constant nausea and vomiting, that they cannot take it at all.
Ozempic functions by mimicking a single hormone called GLP-1; the drug’s mode of action is relatively simple but limited. To improve upon Ozempic, drugmakers have started targeting GLP-1 in combination with other hormones linked to hunger and satiety. The second drug currently on the market, the tirzepatide found in Mounjaro and Zepbound, resembles GLP-1 in addition to another hormone called GIP, hitting receptors for both in the brain. The GIP component may serve a double function, promoting additional satiety while suppressing some of the nausea caused by GLP-1. However tirzepatide truly works—and experts caution that no one knows—it prompts, on average,
about 20 percent weight loss
. It’s only the first of the “GLP-1 plus” drugs to market.
Other GLP-1-plus drugs in development include GLP-1 plus amylin, GLP-1 plus glucagon, and GLP-1 plus anti-GIP, which surprisingly could work as well as Mounjaro’s combination of GLP-1 plus GIP. (“If you aren’t confused,” Randy Seeley, an obesity researcher at the University of Michigan, told me, “you aren’t paying attention.”) In fact, all of these combinations seem to work—at least based on preliminary data from clinical trials—even as a precise understanding of the science lags. Some of the hormone mimics, such as for
amylin
, might also
work alone
. And others could be remixed into combinations of more than two. The drug retatrutide, which is in trials, is a triple hitter that targets GLP-1 plus glucagon plus GIP receptors, all at once. In an
early Phase 2 trial
, patients lost on average 24 percent of their weight, the highest of any obesity drug so far. The best responders lost
upwards of 40 percent
.
Even more intriguing than the top-line weight-loss numbers are metabolic changes unique to particular drugs. Glucagon, for example, ramps up liver metabolism; drugs based on this hormone could help break down fat accumulated in the livers of patients who also have fatty-liver disease. (The FDA is expediting review of one such drug, survodutide, for
liver-disease
patients.) Meanwhile, GLP-1-based drugs appear to protect against cardiovascular disease, even
independent of weight loss
. Patients prone to heart disease might fare best on medication that includes a GLP-1 component. When it comes to obesity, Seeley said, “your flavor of metabolic disease will be different than the next person’s.” Obesity drugs of the future may finally reflect that diversity, too.
An extensive menu of obesity drugs that work via distinct biological mechanisms means that patients will have more options to try. If they aren’t losing weight on drug A, they can move on to drug B or C. Experts don’t yet understand why the drugs work differently in different people, but hormone receptors in our brains likely vary in subtle yet important ways. The new drugs not only hit distinct combinations of hormone receptors; they also each tickle those receptors in a unique way.
In the near future, doctors and patients will probably have to trial-and-error their way to what works best. Further down the line, experts tell me, they hope to have a test, such as a blood test, that can forecast how patients will fare. Doctors could tell patients that they’ve got five different drugs at the ready, “and if I do this one test on you, I do this one test on you, I can predict which one of these drugs is the best for you,” Jonathan Campbell, an obesity researcher at Duke University, told me.
Maximum weight loss might not always be the goal for everyone though. The 40 percent that some people lose on retatrutide would be far too much for a patient barely over the BMI cutoff for obesity. Patients who don’t need to optimize weight loss may choose to prioritize convenience instead, which drugmakers are also happy to oblige. Most obesity drugs on the market are formulated as weekly injections. But Eli Lilly is developing a daily pill called orforglipron, and Amgen is testing a monthly injection called MariTide. And some patients, especially those who are elderly with already low muscle mass, might need
extra help preserving their strength
. The powerful appetite suppression that induces fat loss can induce muscle loss too. A number of drugmakers are now trialing obesity drugs in combination with
various
muscle
–
preserving drugs
.
A mere decade ago, obesity drugs powerful enough for people to routinely drop double-digit percentages of their body weight were unheard-of. Today, there are two, and they feel ubiquitous. In yet another 10 years, this toolbox of just two obesity drugs will likely appear tiny and outdated. The next phase of the obesity-drug revolution is coming, with more drugs to choose from.
