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China is bearing down on Taiwan – enabled by Trump’s weakness and vacillation | Simon Tisdall

By Eric December 1, 2025

In a thought-provoking analysis, Simon Tisdall of The Guardian highlights the perilous consequences of ignorance and misunderstanding in international relations, particularly in the context of the United States’ foreign policy decisions regarding Ukraine and China. Tisdall draws historical parallels to illustrate how miscalculations have historically led to catastrophic outcomes, using examples such as Hitler’s underestimation of American industrial power before World War II and the Soviet Union’s ill-fated invasion of Afghanistan. These historical precedents underscore the potential for current U.S. actions to inadvertently provoke aggressive responses from global powers, particularly China, as tensions rise over Taiwan.

Tisdall emphasizes that the U.S. support for Ukraine in its conflict with Russia has not only left Ukraine vulnerable but may also be emboldening Chinese President Xi Jinping’s ambitions regarding Taiwan, which he views as a renegade province. The article posits that the U.S. may be underestimating the ramifications of its foreign policy, similar to how past leaders misjudged the resolve and capabilities of their adversaries. The commentary serves as a cautionary tale, warning that a lack of understanding and foresight in diplomatic engagements can lead to escalated conflicts. With the stakes higher than ever, Tisdall urges a reevaluation of U.S. strategies to avoid repeating the mistakes of history, advocating for a more nuanced approach that considers the complex dynamics at play in international relations today.

In conclusion, Tisdall’s insights call for a critical reassessment of how the U.S. engages with both Ukraine and China, reminding readers that ignorance and historical prejudice can ignite conflicts that may spiral out of control. The article serves as a timely reminder of the importance of informed diplomacy and the need for a deeper understanding of global politics to navigate the challenges of the modern world effectively. As tensions rise, the U.S. must tread carefully to avoid miscalculations that could lead to disastrous consequences for itself and its allies.

The US hasn’t just left Ukraine vulnerable; it is also provoking Xi’s intensifying attitude towards what he considers a renegade province
Sheer ignorance, fed by malign intent, historical prejudice and mutual misunderstanding, is often the crucial spark that ignites simmering international conflicts. If Adolf Hitler, remarkably ignorant of the US, had grasped the true extent of American industrial might, would he still have fatefully declared war on Washington in 1941?
When the Soviet Union invaded Afghanistan in 1979, it evidently had no idea what it was getting into. Humiliating defeat contributed greatly to its subsequent disintegration. In 1990, Iraq’s Saddam Hussein attacked Kuwait,
convinced he had a green light
from the White House. In all these cases, stupidity produced disastrous misjudgments that proved fatal.
Simon Tisdall is a Guardian foreign affairs commentator

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