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What DVOA says about the Bengals, Giants, Patriots, Bears and more: Keep an eye on these six things

By Eric November 28, 2025

In the realm of NFL analysis, understanding defensive prowess is crucial for evaluating team performance, and the latest insights into the Cincinnati Bengals and New York Giants shed light on how their defenses stack up historically. Using DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average), a metric that measures a team’s efficiency by comparing success on each play to a league-average baseline, we can assess just how far these teams have fallen in recent years. The Bengals’ defense, once a formidable unit, has struggled significantly this season, ranking near the bottom of the league. With a DVOA that reveals a concerning trend of allowing big plays and failing to stop opposing offenses, the Bengals’ struggles have raised eyebrows among analysts and fans alike. Their inability to adapt and improve has become a focal point for discussions on potential coaching changes and roster adjustments.

Meanwhile, the New York Giants’ run defense has also been under scrutiny, particularly in light of their historical performance since 1978. The Giants have had a mixed record over the decades, but their current run defense metrics indicate a troubling decline. By comparing their current DVOA with past seasons, it becomes evident that the Giants are not just facing challenges this year; they are on track to have one of the worst run defenses in franchise history. This is particularly alarming given the team’s storied history of strong defensive play, which has been a hallmark of their identity. The juxtaposition of the Giants’ past successes against their present struggles paints a vivid picture of how quickly fortunes can change in the NFL.

On a different note, the New England Patriots and Chicago Bears have emerged as intriguing cases in the current season. Both teams have shown flashes of potential, leading to questions about their legitimacy as playoff contenders. Utilizing DVOA, we can dissect their performances and determine whether they can sustain success moving forward. The Patriots, with their storied legacy, have faced challenges but have managed to remain competitive, while the Bears, in a rebuilding phase, have shown signs of improvement that could signal a turning point. As the season progresses, the evaluation of these teams through the lens of DVOA will be crucial in understanding their trajectories and whether they can overcome obstacles to secure a playoff spot. Overall, the analysis of defensive metrics like DVOA provides valuable insights into the current state of the NFL, illustrating the constant evolution of team dynamics and the importance of defensive play in achieving success.

Just how bad is the Cincinnati defense? How does the Giants’ run D stack up since 1978? And are the Patriots and Bears legit? Let’s use DVOA to find out.

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