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Air cargo impact from post-crash MD-11 grounding seen as ‘minimal,’ analysts say

By Eric November 21, 2025

As the holiday season approaches, the air cargo industry is facing potential disruptions due to the recent fleet groundings of major logistics companies UPS and FedEx. Both companies have temporarily grounded portions of their aircraft fleets to address safety concerns and maintenance issues, raising alarms about their ability to handle the anticipated surge in shipping demand during one of the busiest times of the year. This situation is particularly concerning given that air cargo is a critical component of global supply chains, especially for time-sensitive goods such as electronics, gifts, and perishable items.

The implications of these groundings could be significant, as UPS and FedEx collectively account for a substantial share of the air cargo market. With the holiday season typically seeing a spike in e-commerce, retailers and consumers alike rely heavily on these carriers to ensure timely delivery of products. For instance, last year, FedEx reported delivering over 100 million packages in the week leading up to Christmas alone. The current fleet issues could lead to delays, increased shipping costs, and a backlog of packages, which may frustrate consumers and businesses alike. In addition to the immediate effects on shipping times, the situation could also exacerbate existing supply chain challenges that have been lingering since the COVID-19 pandemic, where disruptions have already strained inventory levels and logistics networks.

Industry experts are closely monitoring the situation, emphasizing the importance of proactive communication from UPS and FedEx to keep customers informed about potential delays and service adjustments. While both companies are working diligently to resolve the maintenance issues and resume normal operations, the uncertainty surrounding their fleets adds to the already complex landscape of air cargo logistics as the holiday shopping season kicks into high gear. As a result, businesses are encouraged to plan ahead, consider alternative shipping options, and manage customer expectations to mitigate the impact of these unforeseen disruptions.

Air cargo could be impacted by the UPS and FedEx fleet groundings ahead of the busy holiday season.

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