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The Guardian view on Europe’s firewall against the far right: in growing need of repair | Editorial

In recent months, the political landscape in France has been increasingly influenced by the rise of nationalist populism, as exemplified by the growing prominence of Marine Le Pen’s far-right party and its potential alliances with other right-wing factions across Europe. This shift was highlighted during a recent address by Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, who spoke to members of the French far-right party Identité-Libertés, led by Le Pen’s niece, Marion Maréchal. Meloni emphasized the importance of consolidating right-wing and center-right forces, suggesting that such unity could be pivotal for the future of French politics. Her remarks underscore a broader trend in which centrist parties in France are grappling with their diminishing influence as they face increasing competition from the far-right.

Meloni’s rise to power in Italy serves as a cautionary tale for centrist parties in France, as her Brothers of Italy party transformed from a fringe group into a dominant force, now polling at 31%, compared to just 4% in previous elections. This dramatic turnaround was achieved by effectively reclaiming the narrative of the right and appealing to a broader base of voters disillusioned with traditional politics. In stark contrast, the center-right Forza Italia, founded by Silvio Berlusconi, struggles at just 8% in the polls, highlighting the fragility of centrist positions in the face of rising populism. As France’s political dynamics shift, the fragility of its cordon sanitaire against Le Pen’s influence raises concerns about the future of centrist parties and the potential normalization of far-right ideologies within mainstream politics.

The implications of this trend are significant, not only for France but for the entire European political landscape. The potential for a united right could embolden nationalist movements across the continent, challenging the traditional political order and redefining the boundaries of acceptable political discourse. As centrist parties attempt to revive their fortunes, they must contend with the realities of an electorate increasingly drawn to populist narratives that promise a return to national pride and sovereignty. The rise of leaders like Meloni and the persistent strength of Le Pen signal a critical juncture for European politics, where the stakes are high, and the outcomes could reshape the continent’s future.