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TSMC’s cautious expansion is frustrating the AI industry

By Eric November 16, 2025

In recent years, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), the world’s leading chipmaker, has found itself navigating the volatile waters of investment booms and busts in the semiconductor industry. Historically, TSMC has experienced significant challenges during periods of rapid expansion, which have often led to overcapacity and financial strain. For instance, during the boom of the early 2000s, the company invested heavily in new fabrication plants, only to face a downturn that left it with excess production capabilities and diminished profits. This cyclical nature of the semiconductor market has made TSMC cautious about future investments, as the company seeks to balance growth with sustainable operational practices.

In light of these past experiences, TSMC is now adopting a more measured approach to its expansion plans. The company is focusing on strategic investments that align with current market demands while also preparing for potential fluctuations in the global economy. For example, TSMC’s recent decision to invest $40 billion in expanding its manufacturing facilities in the United States reflects a dual strategy: bolstering its domestic manufacturing capabilities while also addressing geopolitical concerns, particularly in relation to U.S.-China tensions. This investment not only aims to secure a more stable supply chain but also positions TSMC to capitalize on the growing demand for advanced chips in sectors such as automotive, artificial intelligence, and consumer electronics.

Moreover, TSMC’s cautious optimism is underscored by its commitment to innovation and technological advancement. The company is actively developing cutting-edge processes, such as 3nm and 2nm chip technologies, which promise to deliver higher performance and energy efficiency. By focusing on these advanced technologies, TSMC aims to maintain its competitive edge in a rapidly evolving market. As the semiconductor industry continues to face challenges, including supply chain disruptions and fluctuating demand, TSMC’s strategic investments and focus on innovation may well determine its ability to thrive in the long term, avoiding the pitfalls of previous investment cycles.

The Taiwanese chipmaking giant has been burned by previous investment booms

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